Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.248672 0.291566 0.342256 0.407299 0.489598 0.591729 0.730414
2025-02-09 0.186186 0.238904 0.309430 0.413689 0.569429 0.803424 1.203382
2025-02-16 0.151998 0.207979 0.290003 0.425362 0.657479 1.071789 1.963240
2025-02-23 0.128947 0.185113 0.273329 0.432288 0.738576 1.377790 3.111570
2025-03-02 0.112104 0.167112 0.258439 0.435446 0.812854 1.723349 4.857177
2025-03-09 0.098711 0.151642 0.243565 0.432912 0.873822 2.089966 7.436435
2025-03-16 0.087362 0.137452 0.227649 0.422998 0.913428 2.439791 11.017970
2025-03-23 0.080994 0.130778 0.224051 0.437772 1.023377 3.138298 19.897354
2025-03-30 0.073235 0.120383 0.211192 0.427789 1.060727 3.627309 31.294338
2025-04-06 0.068266 0.114447 0.206171 0.435129 1.156400 4.530513 61.285118
2025-04-13 0.062906 0.107050 0.196813 0.428954 1.205681 5.307626 114.059733
2025-04-20 0.059400 0.102824 0.193548 0.438114 1.318058 6.744156 307.614941
2025-04-27 0.056643 0.099847 0.192773 0.454899 1.478690 9.100409 1596.081708
2025-05-04 0.053796 0.096359 0.190306 0.466445 1.631347 12.135550 31972.842798
2025-05-11 0.051409 0.093551 0.188989 0.481453 1.818916 16.829735 NaN
2025-05-18 0.048922 0.090239 0.185910 0.490023 1.986493 22.866929 NaN
2025-05-25 0.046461 0.086715 0.181756 0.493876 2.136470 30.652495 NaN
2025-06-01 0.043951 0.082828 0.176108 0.490926 2.246344 39.660141 NaN
2025-06-08 0.041333 0.078459 0.168617 0.479250 2.290531 48.105550 NaN
2025-06-15 0.040048 0.077002 0.168698 0.496677 2.575097 77.479330 NaN
2025-06-22 0.037833 0.073196 0.161866 0.484901 2.619715 96.521317 NaN
2025-06-29 0.036483 0.071298 0.160096 0.493558 2.859270 154.501826 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034735 0.068311 0.154874 0.486275 2.948729 211.526176 NaN